The Kelo Decision - One Year Anniversary

May 9th, 2006

When the Supreme Court, in June 2005, upheld a lower court’s decision allowing the kelo.jpgCity of New London, Connecticut to proceed in seizing property from private owners to facilitate a redevelopment project by private developers, it set off a firestorm that shows no sign of abating.

The decision, Kelo v. New London concerned 15 homeowners contesting the seizure of their properties in the economically troubled Connecticut city on river adjacent property that also abutted a huge new R&D facility occupied by Pfizer Pharmaceuticals. There was no claim that the property was blighted, just a solid blue collar neighborhood. The City seized the property under Eminent Domain proceedings on the grounds that redeveloping the area into a mix of office, retail, and higher end residential properties would benefit the public by providing jobs and increasing New London’s tax base.

By a 5 to 4 vote the Supreme Court supported that rationale while issuing a broad invitation to local governments to review their own eminent domain procedures. U.S. Senators and Congresspersons have introduced 47 pieces of legislation having to do with the Kelo decision. Some are resolutions condemning the Supreme Court ruling, other are laws attempting to limit the abilities of government to take private land for private purposes. However, few have made it out of committee.

On the state level a total of 33 bills were introduced last year in 13 states. Most proposed legislation followed a similar line of reasoning; the government should not be allowed to take property from private landholders even if the end result would be to generate additional revenues and that property should never be turned over to another private interest regardless of the eventual public good.

Some of the bills have an exception for blighted properties, a few, in California and Ohio, mandated a temporary moratorium on eminent domain proceedings or at least those for private purposes to allow time for more study. Only a few of the thirteen bills have passed. Here is the roll call for 2005 Texas enacted standard legislation while defeating two other bills. However, the successful bill which was quickly enacted after the Kelo v. New London decision was handed down, contains a few exceptions to the private use concept.  One of these is the taking of private property to build the new Dallas Cowboy stadium. So far in 2006 20 states have introduced nearly 60 pieces of eminent domain legislation, most of which are in the early stages of study and review although some may have recently been enacted.

This information comes from the National Conference of State Legislatures. For a complete list of states and a brief summary of legislation for both 2005 and 2006, see  http://www.ncsl.org/programs/natres/emindomain.htm.

A recent article on Inman News goes into a bit more detail.

Private property rights activists were horrified nearly a year ago when the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that federal law doesn’t prohibit local governments’ use of their eminent domain power to seize individual homes and businesses for commercial redevelopment projects. The high court’s decision in Kelo v. City of New London ignited a firestorm of debate and protest, but many homeowners, including those in two of the nation’s most populous states, still don’t have adequate protection from government takings of their homes for private commercial purposes.

In California, a Democrat-backed proposal is pending in the legislature while a Republican-supported initiative that would amend the state constitution appears to be headed toward a popular vote on the November ballot. This unfortunate cross-purposes situation isn’t surprising in a state that’s known for its bizarre politics and where the ballot initiative was invented nearly a century ago. Yet all the same, it’s unfortunate that no concrete action has been taken by the legislature to counter Kelo and protect the state’s homeowners.

In New York, the state bar association has called for a commission to study proposed changes to the state’s eminent domain laws. The primary beneficiaries of a study would appear to be the attorneys themselves, who should be familiar enough with the state’s laws to explain what would be needed to protect homeowners from Kelo-like situations without the distraction of a government-funded study. Indeed, the state bar already has convened its own task force on the subject of eminent domain. What’s needed is not another study, but action.

Granted, California and New York are the most populous states in the country and they contain some of the nation’s most densely packed urban areas, characteristics that make property rights and appropriate redevelopment particularly complex.

There is a risk that new laws could make eminent domain cases even more complicated and onerous for homeowners, who rarely have the financial resources and access to the legal system that’s necessary to challenge such government powers.

There is also a risk that responses to Kelo could err in the opposite direction and make it impossible for government authorities to condemn property that would meet almost anyone’s definition of blight and that was needed for redevelopment projects that clearly would serve the public interest, regardless of whether private companies also might be involved. Yet the risk of excessive constraints against government takings seems small compared with the harm homeowners could suffer in states where the wild permissiveness of Kelo hasn’t been curtailed.

Elsewhere, progress has been made. Hundreds of legislative proposals to counter Kelo have been introduced in more than 40 states, and some dozen states have enacted new limitations on government powers, according to a recent newspaper report. That outcome is exactly what the Supreme Court decision in Kelo envisioned. Most of these new state laws prohibit the use of eminent domain powers to further economic development or increase the tax base while others prohibit condemnation of property that isn’t deemed to be “blighted.”

Legislation that’s pending in Illinois and has the support of the state Realtors association attempts to strike a balance. Municipalities would be forced to prove an area was blighted before they could compel owners to sell their property for private development projects. Government seizures of property for private development would require a written agreement with a developer or an established plan to eliminate blight and a written agreement or deed restriction that would ensure the property was used for the stated purpose. Government entities would be required to pay relocation costs for displaced residents consistent with federal law in all eminent domain actions. And attorney’s fees would be awarded on the basis of the net benefit gained by property owners who made a good faith settlement offer and successfully challenged the government’s last and best offer for their property.

The bottom line is that state laws need to balance communities’ needs for development and homeowners’ property rights in ways that don’t result in greater confusion and endless legal wrangling between the two sides. On the margin, laws should err in favor of private homeowners, not commercial development or the interests of eminent domain attorneys.

While California debates and New York studies, local developers and their government cronies surely have their eyes on both campaign coffers and private residences that occupy prime real estate. Homeowners deserve better protection from the type of indefensible government takeover that Kelo seemingly condoned.

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Foreclosures Up 38 Percent in Q1 2006

May 8th, 2006

Foreclosure Article

logo.gifNational foreclosure filings continued to climb in the first three months of 2006, evidence that more U.S. homeowners are struggling to stay current on their monthly mortgage payments.

A total of 323,102 properties nationwide entered some stage of foreclosure in the first quarter of 2006, a 72 percent year-over-year increase from the first quarter of 2005 and a 38 percent increase from the previous quarter, according to the RealtyTrac™ U.S. Foreclosure Market Report. The nation’s quarterly foreclosure rate of one new foreclosure for every 358 U.S. households was higher than in any quarter of last year.foreclosure.jpg

“The sharp increase in foreclosures in Q1 continues a steady upward trend that we’ve observed since the beginning of last year,” said James J. Saccacio, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac. “Foreclosures have now increased in four consecutive quarters and are on track to go above 1.2 million in 2006, which would push the nation’s annual foreclosure rate to more than 1 percent of U.S. households.”

Saccacio noted that foreclosures actually dipped 13 percent from February to March, a signal that the nation’s foreclosure rate could be leveling off after the long run-up.

“With the current market conditions, it’s unlikely that foreclosures will return to the historically low levels they were at in recent years when interest rates hit rock bottom and home price appreciation skyrocketed in many areas of the country,” he said. “But it’s possible that foreclosures will flatten out or even move a bit lower this Spring if more buyers and investors enter the market, giving homeowners in distress a better chance of selling their properties to avoid going into default or foreclosure.”

Foreclosures by quarter

Foreclosures by quarter

For the complete report, please follow this link which provides more analysis and a state by state breakdown.

1SourceData - Online AVM

May 8th, 2006

1SourceData - Online AVM

QUICK VALUE AVM SERVICES

AVM’s answer the question, “What is this property worth?” But they do it faster, and theydeed.jpg save the borrower hundreds of dollars. Blogger note: This is the company line. As a professional appraisal there may be many times when an AVM will save you a few hundred dollars on an appraisal fee and cost you thousands if you make a decision based on the value estimates developed by the model.

The 1Sourcedata AVM takes about 30 seconds to confirm a loan to value ratio.

According to the company website:

They are accurate enough that many lenders accept AVM’s as a replacement for appraisals. Fannie Mae and many others use AVM’s in their quality control processes. And they are often used to complete and underwriter’s desk review.

1 Source Data is committed to supplying the most accurate and cost efficient AVM’s in the industry. Our FirstClose gateway currently offers AVM’s from eight different vendors, and that number is increasing. You can order accurate residential property valuations, for properties in more than 2,300 U.S. counties, and have them delivered in seconds.

Cascading through AVM’s can make your life even easier. We are one of the few AVM providers to automate the process of getting values from a group of vendors. You select the vendors and our platform will search the list until a value is found. Blogger note: Does this mean they will continue searching the available AVMs until the value you want is found or until one of the AVMs can produce a value - any value?

And more functionality is in development. Value Sensitive AVM’s will let you find the AVM with the highest value, or the value closest to the sales price. And Merged AVM’s will select and then ‘merge’ the findings of a group of AVM’s. You pick the AVM’s; you determine the number of AVM’s; you control the process. Blogger note: This also concerns me because an appraisal developed by an ethical and competent appraiser will not provide the highest value or the value closest to the sales price - but the market value.

As always, caveat emptor. Are you willing to risk the biggest investment of your life to a valuation tool that may be off by a significant amount? In the home buying/selling process, the appraiser and home inspectors may be the only disinterested 3rd-parties in the transaction. We are there to give an unbiased opinion of value - to protect your interests.

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CoreLogic’s AVM Select Product

May 8th, 2006

avm.jpg

Automated Valuation Model

CoreLogic’s first cascading AVM tool revolutionized mortgage lending by offering a solution that delivered higher hit rates and greater accuracy than possible from a single AVM. Over the years, CoreLogic has continued to develop and refine the cascade model, constantly improving hit rate and accuracy to deliver a functional, dependable automated valuation tool. AVMSelect™ cascades over up to 15 of the country’s most respected AVMs with a hit rate of nearly 90 percent, surpassing individual AVMs by at least 15 percent.

AVMSelect features geopreferencing, an innovative approach that dynamically ranks AVM selection in the order most likely to deliver accurate valuations for each geography. CoreLogic’s independence ensures that AVMs are selected impartially in rank order, based solely on choosing the best-fit AVM for each property. The system also enables company-wide consistency by allowing clients to configure specifications based on corporate guidelines and business rules. In addition, AVMSelect provides easy access to additional property tools that supplement AVM returns.

AVMSelect can be delivered through a secure Web-based interface, batch processing, or direct XML integration into an institution’s production system.

download the AVMSelect product sheet

View more info about AVM’s

Financial institutions can use cascading AVM models to increase hit rate while maintaining and even increasing accuracy compared to single AVM models. Applying a set of statistical performance measures and utilizing these statistics in a rank-ordering model that is guided by a goal of maximizing accuracy allows a financial institution to use this technology without unwarranted model-risk exposure. The statistical nature of both the AVM performance analysis and the rank ordering of the AVMs in the cascading model results in a model that is well defensible to regulators and risk management within the financial institution.

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New Tools Help Mortgage Lenders Reduce Fraud

May 8th, 2006

monopoly.jpgIdentity theft and other borrower-based fraud techniques are becoming increasingly more sophisticated, exacting a much greater toll on profits for mortgage lenders. Compliance and misrepresentation tools alone are no longer adequate to address these threats. In response, CoreLogic, the leading provider of mortgage risk assessment and fraud prevention solutions, has developed IdentityPro to help clients better manage borrower fraud. IdentityPro assesses a borrower’s likelihood to commit the type of mortgage fraud most likely to cause financial loss by using state-of-the-art behavioral analysis that reveals suspicious patterns.“It’s a more robust engine than other products out in the marketplace right now, because it goes beyond the basics of Social Security number verification and identifying misrepresentation.” said Felice Kesselring, director of product development for CoreLogic. “It diagnoses a borrower’s buying and living patterns, looking for the type of activity that can be correlated to the risk associated specifically with fraud for profit.“

IdentityPro works by modeling borrower transactions and other relevant data to more precisely determine borrower risk. In addition, IdentityPro includes compliance and misrepresentation capabilities to spot identity theft, straw borrowers and owner-occupancy misrepresentation. It promotes proactive risk management practices, quickly identifies then minimizes borrower-related loan risk, stops fraudulent loans before they are funded, accelerates decision making and lowers operating costs.

“We can detect patterns that are correlated to flipping activities and higher risk loans giving the mortgage lender a broader base of information about an individual loan or a loan pool. This information enables them to adjust their lending practices accordingly,” said Kesselring.

Lenders can increase production and pull-thru rates, streamlining the approval process by applying IdentityPro during loan application, underwriting or pre-funding review to spot a borrower’s living, buying and selling patterns. The easy-to-use report ordering interface and reports provide alerts for questionable activity including transient behavior, owner occupancy, property value change and Social Security number activity. These alerts and flags act as guideposts to speed review and decision-making.

“In an environment where real estate fraud has become one of the mortgage banking industry’s most destructive concerns, our goal is to offer lenders a more efficient and certain path to isolating borrower risk with the highest potential for impacting loan loss,” said Anthony Romano, Executive Vice President, Sales and Marketing for CoreLogic. “Using IdentityPro, lenders can reduce write-offs due to early payment defaults, prevent identity theft, expand production capacity without increasing staffing, offer better prices and reduce or avoid loan origination costs.”

Key borrower management components of IdentityPro are included in CoreLogic’s LoanSafe™ product suite. LoanSafe delivers a 360-degree assessment of collateral risk by simultaneously evaluating the agent, the borrower and the property.

About CoreLogic:

Sacramento, Calif.-based CoreLogic is the leading provider of collateral risk-analysis and management technology and services to the U.S. mortgage banking industry. Since 1997, the mortgage industry has relied on CoreLogic to enable risk management and workflow process support. Using CoreLogic technology, mortgage originators and investors are able to increase profitability and loan quality by making more informed lending and investment decisions. The CoreLogic suite of property information tools provides the data, comprehensive geographic coverage, ease-of-use and accessibility the mortgage industry needs. For more information about CoreLogic, visit www.corelogic.com.

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Freddie Mac to Join 14 Lenders to Help Borrowers Avoid Foreclosure

May 8th, 2006

Freddie Mac, one of the nation’s largest investors in residential mortgages, announced today it is joining 14 major financial institutions and the NeighborWorks® Center for Foreclosure Solutions to cosponsor a major new effort to help more borrowers across the country avoid foreclosure.freddie.gifFreddie Mac has agreed to contribute funds towards the $1 million to the NeighborWorks Center to create a multi-pronged effort to boost the industry’s capacity to provide effective foreclosure avoidance counseling, undertake new research and work with different public and private organizations to educate the public about foreclosure alternatives.

“We’re joining this initiative is to send a very important message to America’s late-paying borrowers: You don’t have to lose your house. You do have options. But it is up to you to pursue them,” said Ingrid Beckles, vice president of default asset management at Freddie Mac. “We are delighted to join NeighborWorks and the other co-sponsors to launch this promising new effort to show borrowers how to avoid unnecessary foreclosures.”

Freddie Mac’s decision to become a sponsor is based in part on findings from a 2005 company-sponsored study that found 61% of late-paying borrowers unaware there are workout options that could help them keep their homes and 64% unaware that housing counselors are available to help explain these options.  The study also found 74% of borrowers very interested in working with housing counselors to avoid foreclosure. Roper Public Affairs and Media, a division of GFK NOP, conducted the study.

Borrowers can find a comprehensive description of Freddie Mac workout options at FreddieMac. By working closely with lenders and non-profit organizations like NeighborWorks, Freddie Mac annually helps an estimated 50,000 financially troubled borrowers avoid foreclosure and stay in their homes.

The other co-sponsors include American General Financial Services, Inc., a member of American International Group, and ABN AMRO Mortgage Group, Inc., an indirect subsidiary of LaSalle Bank Corporation, Bank of America, Chase, Citigroup, Countrywide Home Loans, HSBC – North America, National City Mortgage Co., New Century Financial Corporation, Ocwen Loan Servicing, LLC, Option One Mortgage, Residential Capital Corporation, Washington Mutual and Wells Fargo Home Mortgage.

Freddie Mac is a stockholder-owned corporation established by Congress in support of home-ownership and rental housing. Freddie Mac purchases single-family and multifamily residential mortgages and mortgage-related securities, which it finances primarily by issuing mortgage passthrough securities and debt instruments in the capital markets. Over the years, Freddie Mac has made home possible for one in six homebuyers in America and more than four million renters across America.

Warren Buffett On the Real Estate Market

May 8th, 2006

Buffett wary of real estate, commodities speculation - May. 7, 2006

A recently article on the CNN/Money Magazine website summarized the annual meeting of Berkshire Hathaway. Here are two of Mr. Buffet’s comments on the housing market.warren_buffett.jpg

Housing Bubble:
“What we see in our residential brokerage business [HomeServices of America, the nation’s second-largest realtor] is a slowdown everyplace, most dramatically in the formerly hottest markets. [Buffett singled out Dade and Broward counties in Florida as an area that has experienced a rise in unsold inventory and a stagnation in price.] The day traders of the Internet moved into trading condos, and that kind a speculation can produce a market that can move in a big way. You can get real discontinuities. We’ve had a real bubble to some degree. I would be surprised if there aren’t some significant downward adjustments, especially in the higher end of the housing market.”

Mortgage Financing:

“Dumb lending always has its consequences. It’s like a disease that doesn’t manifest itself for a few weeks, like an epidemic that doesn’t show up until it’s too late to stop it Any developer will build anything he can borrow against. If you look at the 10Ks that are getting filed [by banks] and compare them just against last year’s 10Ks, and look at their balances of ‘interest accrued but not paid,’ you’ll see some very interesting statistics [implying that many homeowners are no longer able to service their current debt].”

HomeServices of America, Inc.  (a Berkshire Hathway company) is based in Minneapolis, Minnesota and is the second largest, full service independent residential real estate brokerage firm and the largest brokerage-owned settlement services (mortgage, title, escrow and insurance) provider in the United States.

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NAR Strikes Back at the Freakanomics Boys

May 8th, 2006

I recently blogged about an entry on the NAR site that states in part that selling a homeboxing.jpg without a Realtor® costs a home owner approximately $31,800. This statistic by NAR is in direct conflict with the Freakanomics book which as one of its chapters investigated this very topic. The conclusion in the book differs significantly from the NAR report.

Well NAR strikes back in Round 2 of what is sure to become a tussle between the two. Here is NAR’s latest left hook:WOLFSHEEP.jpg

“The best-selling book Freakonomics: A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything by Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner argues that REALTOR®-owned homes sell at a higher price than others because they stay on the market longer, and the authors suggest that somehow REALTORS® do a better job of selling their own properties than they do for their customers.

The fact is that a large percentage of the REALTOR®-owned properties the Freakonomics authors studied were investment properties, not primary residences. With investor properties, the seller can wait out a bad market and wait for the prices, not worrying about the timing of a job transfer or the start of school year. In the Freakonomics study, the data sample consisted of 3,300 REALTOR®-owned sales out of 98,000 total sales. That is, REALTORS® engaged in 3.4% of all home sales. Yet REALTORS® represent only 0.8% of the general population. That percentage is much larger than would be expected out of the general working population. Clearly, the high percentage of REALTOR®-owned homes can only be attributed to investment properties.

Freakonomics assumes that the longer a property is on the market, the higher the price at which it will sell. In fact, the opposite usually occurs; price concessions become deeper the longer a home stays on the market. For sellers needing to move, they have to concede lower price with each passing week. Investors, on the other hand, have less incentive to concede. So the fact that REALTORS® are selling a client’s home with fewer days on the market is a value-added contribution.”

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City to consider taking land from Wal-Mart / Prime bay property could be seized by eminent domain

May 7th, 2006

City to consider taking land from Wal-Mart / Prime bay property could be seized by eminent domain

walmart.jpgIn an interesting turn of events, Wal-Mart may have its land condemned by the city. From the article:

“The Hercules City Council (California) will consider whether to use eminent domain to wrest a 17-acre property from Wal-Mart Stores Inc. after the nation’s largest retailer rejected a city offer to buy the site with views of San Pablo Bay, city officials said Thursday. The council asked that a “resolution of necessity’’ be brought to it for discussion, City Manager Mike Sakamoto said. The matter has been put on the council’s May 23 agenda. Efforts to reach council members about Thursday’s announcement were unsuccessful.

Wal-Mart bought the property overlooking central Hercules in November after another developer received city approvals for a neighborhood shopping center. In February, city planners recommended denying Wal-Mart’s proposal for a big-box store on its property, saying the plan was not in keeping with what had been approved for the location, which commands a view of one of the Bay Area’s most vaunted New Urbanist communities, with pedestrian-oriented streets and large open-space set-asides, as well as sweeping views of the bay.

The company withdrew its application before it went to the city Planning Commission. In response, the City Council voted to make an offer for the land for an undisclosed amount of money.”

Read the full article here

100px-Hercules_seal.gifAccording to wikipedia, Hercules is a city located in Contra Costa County, California. As of the 2000 census, the city had a total population of 19,488. It is one of many small “bedroom communities” along the I-80 corridor in Western Contra Costa County. It is located about 20 miles northeast of San Francisco, and approximately a half-hour drive (without traffic) from either Oakland or San Francisco. Neighboring towns are Pinole to the southwest, Rodeo to the north, as well as Martinez to the east via Route 4.

The population is predominantly middle class and relatively diverse. The town has some light manufacturing and high-tech industry (most notably Bio-Rad Laboratories, a Fortune 500 company, is based here) as well as various commercial and retail activities. Most of the housing and other building stock is of recent construction. New commercial and residential development is ongoing, including the development of the town’s waterfront near several historic buildings that remain from the original town.

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National Atlas - Make Your Own Maps

May 7th, 2006

DM_ICON.gifNationalatlas.govâ„¢ contains a remarkable range of products and services to meet the diverse needs of people who are looking for maps and geographic information about America.PRES200.gif

In the National Atlas Map Maker, you can assemble, view, and print your own maps. In the Map Maker, you can use more than 1,900 map layers to select, display, and print your own maps. You can locate any place in America and learn more about its features on your custom-made maps. Handy links take you outside the National Atlas for even more information. Each map layer can be displayed individually or mixed with others as you tailor a map to your needs. For example, you can make a map showing America’s streams and lakes. And you can add new map layers showing additional geographic information, such as state boundaries, county boundaries, roads, railroads, and towns and cities.

Map layers currently include Agriculutre, Biology, Boundaries, Climate, Envronment, Geology, History, Map Reference, People, Transportation and Water. Using these layers and the various data sets underneath, you can create a map with multiplie layers to display information.tapestry.gif

As an added bnous, if you have your own GIS system, you can download the raw data used on the site - free of charge. Vector files are available in Shapefile and SDTS-TVP formats. National Atlas geostatistical data are in DBF format. The images are GeoTIFF files.

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